Why Chelsea and Tottenham transfer targets pose greater risks to Richardson Everton’s superstar price tag

Richardson Off Everton seems to be on the cusp of a star winger’s career. The Brazilian began his career before moving to his native Fluminense. Watford At the age of 20, he was brought into the European game. After just one season there, he took the English ladder to Everton. Now, after four seasons, he is entering the prime of his career and is calling for some big names in the Premier League. Tottenham Hotspur have expressed interest. And even Chelsea is kicking tires. On a potential swoop for Richarlison.

Everton understandably, the superstar wants money for his attacker, allegedly asking North for $ 60 million. Is this the price that the best clubs in the world should pay? Let’s take a look.

What makes Richardson attractive?

What makes Richardson a very unique player is that despite being an attacker, his score and assists are not necessarily what makes him stand out. In his four years with Everton, Richarlison has averaged 0.35 goals per 90 minutes, ranking 29th among players who have played 4,000 minutes or more during those four seasons. He lives right in the middle. Chris Wood (Now Newcastle) 28th and Ashley Barnes relegated Burnley On the 30th. Its intended target (xG) totally tells the same story. There it ranks 39th with 0.31 xG per 90. And his scoring is significantly better than his assistant Total. It averages 0.10 assists per 90, which is not even in the top 100. And it is not that his colleagues are constantly wasting the easy opportunities that are created for them. Its support for the 90 is actually higher than the 0.08 expected support (xA) whose STATS performance model predicts that its passes are valuable.

That’s when you start to see all these non-scoring things, yet Richardson really starts to shine. During those four seasons, Richardson is fifth of all attackers with 1.69 per 90 tackles, and he also wins those tackles. Its attack rate of 44.7% is the second highest among attackers. His ball recovery is also strong with a score of 4.92 and he is the seventh attacker in the Premier League in the last four years.

Richardson then has more than average ability to run with the ball on his feet. He doesn’t pick up the ball much, which is the result of playing on some deep minor aspects. He has tried just 27.09 carry per match in the last four years, which is not even in the top 30 in the Premier League. However, when he does, he averages six yards per carry, the 17th-best total in the league.

Put them all together and you’ve got an average scoring forward, but the one who plays on the wing is a great defender, and is good at moving the ball forward with his feet, even if it’s a bit worthless. Be mentioned Best of all, he has managed to play for a mid-table team that was almost out last season. So, it’s easy to see why there’s some interest.

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What are the downsides of Richarlison?

Although, overall, Richardson offers profiles as a player who can, at least, play a role in a top team, there are still some major reasons for concern. Although on average its profile looks quite good, its speed direction may suggest otherwise. Theoretically, Richardson should hit his prime with the peak of his score as he enters the best years of his career. In practice, even taking into account the fact that he played fewer minutes due to a breakdown last season, he experienced his worst season at Everton in a number of key areas.

His 1.43 per 90 tackles was the lowest of his time at Everton, as he recovered 4.06 balls. These defensive numbers fell despite the fact that Everton had only 39.5% of the ball, the lowest possession they have had in a season when they were there. In one season, when he had more chances to defend, he did less.

This becomes even more alarming when you look at the data around his carry. Its average carrying distance decreased to less than 123 per 90 minutes, which had never been less than 170 yards before. Both had the fewest carriages at Everton at 22.52 in their 90 minutes and had the shortest average yardage in each attempt. At 5.4, therefore, he lifted the ball for shorter and shorter distances each time.

In theory, all of these changes can be explained by a change of position. With striker Dominic Calvert Leon Injured, Richardson played too much as a real striker in the upper part of the formation and too little as another striker who came out of the wing. But net scoring has always been an average part of Richardson’s game, and if playing as a striker hurts his other abilities, it doesn’t improve his scoring. Remove the penalty and you will see a player whose goals were only 0.25 per 90 (lowest of his four Everton seasons), xG per 90 per 0.27 per 90 (tied for the lowest). And the shots were at 2.46 (again the lowest). The only bright spot for Richardson was that his support rate in Everton was the highest at 0.18 per 90 in his time, but even statistics show that he benefited from his warm finishing mostly through his teammates. Because its xA total was 0.03, again. The lowest of his Everton career.

Should teams be scared of Richardson’s down season?

Sometimes bad weather is just a bad weather. It is true that Richardson’s 2021/22 season was relatively disastrous, but many good players have had a bad year. And there was plenty to do. Everton’s struggles last season were no secret and the team moved from a strong midfield to a serious battle. The administration was confused. After Carlo Ancelotti’s move to Real Madrid, Rafa Benitez took charge of the season and played a depressing style of conservative football that did not work well. Frank Lampard Eventually he took over, and when it came to protecting the team, he didn’t really solve many of the problems. It is not at all surprising to see the struggle of a player in this environment.

In addition, Everton had to deal with a serious injury crisis. Striker Dominic Calvert Lyon played just 1,300 minutes, and thus suffered the worst season of the last four years on the pitch. From being part of a young dynamic duo, Richardson went on to fly solo, in a position that did not suit her skills. And showed. Add to that the fact that the young Brazilian basically had no off-season and you can explain it perfectly for the down season. Richarlison played for Brazil in both the Copa America and the Olympics, as well as in a pair of World Cup qualifiers. He played 15 matches in the summer of 2021, all but two of which started. Then the 2021-22 season began.

Everyone said that Richardson is not an extraordinary striker. At his best, he is a great defensive winger who also gives you an average striker score with enough ability to move the ball forward. This is a very valuable type of player. He could easily have been the kind of player a club would wisely pay a potential superstar a season ago. But his recent struggle has made things a little less clear. It is possible that Richardson will return to his old self after the summer holidays. Place it on the arm and under the active side with its legs under it and you will see that gambling pays off.

It is possible, however, that last season revealed that Richardson relies on a non-stop engine that may never be the same. Instead of improving his game in the mid-twenties, he may struggle to regain his small years of production – a potential engine production whose production is now permanently low. Often, athletes recover from excessive use, but sometimes they do not recover.

It is certainly possible to imagine a price point at which buying Richarlison would make sense for some of the world’s biggest teams. But for now, the price that Everton is demanding is basically the amount of money the star can’t remember. And, well, we’ve seen Richardson miss out. This happened last season. Teams like. Chelsea And the Spurs can certainly use Everton’s Star, but unless the Toffees lower their asking price, the best teams in the world can probably find a better value for their dollars elsewhere. And, if it turns out that last season was, in fact, a shock, and Richardson returns to form for the 2022-23 campaign, the moneyed teams could always call again next summer.